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First of all, much props to Reger for even attempting this, with the new rookie wage scale it's going to be very hard to accurately predict this thing since trades will be flying with much more frequency. But it's still a lot of fun trying and I hope Reger will continue the predictions next year as well.
Reger got 4 out of the 30 first picks correct. And that of course excludes the first 2 picks which were the free space on the Bingo Card.
Credit for a correct pick was also given if the player went in the predicted spot but to a different team or if they went in a different spot but to the predicted team.
Now let's take a look at the 2008 and 2009 Sleeper/Busts lists and find out if an NFL team really should be calling in GM Reger for an interview.
2008
SLEEPERS
1. Tom Zbikowski s ND
2. Wesley Woodyard olb kent
3. Jordy Nelson wr k-st
4. Jeremy Thompson DE Wake
5. Matt Forte RB Tulane
6. Alley Broussard RB Miss So
7. Earl Bennett WR Vandy
8. Gary Guyton LB G-tech
9. Bruce Davis OLB UCLA
10. Josh Barrett S ASU
1. Tom Zbikowski s ND
2. Wesley Woodyard olb kent
3. Jordy Nelson wr k-st
4. Jeremy Thompson DE Wake
5. Matt Forte RB Tulane
6. Alley Broussard RB Miss So
7. Earl Bennett WR Vandy
8. Gary Guyton LB G-tech
9. Bruce Davis OLB UCLA
10. Josh Barrett S ASU
BUSTS
1. Derrick Harvey DE FLA
2. Quentin Groves DE AUB
3. Early Doucet WR LSU
4. Felix Jones RB ARK
5. Joe Flacco QB DEL
6. Dustin Keller TE PUR
7. Chris Williams OT Vandy
8. Dre Moore DT Mary
9. Keith Rivers LB USC
10. Brandon Flowers CB VA-tech
I'm not even close to an expert at grading
offensive and defensive linemen from around the league, so I'll leave that to
some more informed members of The Dojo, but the obvious kudos for Reger are
Forte, Nelson and Bennett on his sleeper list. Felix Jones started out
promising but might end up a bust. Early Doucet showed some life last
season but he's got a long way to go.
The only glaring mistake on the Bust list was
Joe Flacco, who may not be an elite QB just yet but there's no way you can
consider him a bust.
2009
SLEEPERS
1. Knowshown Moreno – RB - Georgia
2. Brandon Tate – WR – UNC
3. Hunter Cantwell – QB – Louisville
4. Andre Brown – RB – NC st
5. Cornelius Ingram – TE – Fla
6. Connor Barwin – LB – Cincy
7. Javon Ringer – RB – Mich st
8. Dannell Ellerbe – LB –
Georgia
9.Clint Sintim – LB – VA
10. Coye Francies – CB- San
Jose St
11. David Bruton – S – Notre Dame
12. Jarrett Dillard – WR – Rice
BUSTS
1. Josh Freeman – QB – K st
2. Everette Brown – DE – Fla St
3. Aaron Maybin – DE – Penn St
4. Darrius Heyward – Bey – WR –
Maryland
5. Mohammed Massaquoi – WR –
Georgia
6. Senderrick Marks – DT –
Auburn
7. Fili Moala – DT – USC
8. Brian Cushing – LB – USC
9. Alphonso Smith – CB – Wake
1o. Eben Britton – T – Arizona
11. Hakeem Nicks – WR – UNC
Oh man, not sure if Reger gave The
Cheddarheads any grief about Knoshown Moreno during fantasy last year, but if
he did, Keith should be preparing a lawsuit. The only offensive player on
this sleeper list that might come to fruition is Javon Ringer.
As for the Busts, Freeman had a bad season
last year but most would agree that he is not a bust and will end up being a
good QB in the long run, but yes the final decision on him is not quite in yet.
Heyward Bey finally showed up last season with Carson Palmer at the helm
but with all the hype around him during that draft, he could definitely be
considered a Bust as of right now. Same goes for Massaquoi, he didn't
have all the hype but he has the physical tools to be much better than he is.
But uh oh, Hakeem Nicks a Bust?! Whoopsie! Yeah, not
much else to say about that one except WROOOOONG!
Next year we'll review 2010 and 2011's lists. But so far
Reger's got a gem with Demarco Murray on his 2011 Sleeper list. But also
a possible faux pas with Andy Dalton on the Bust list. We shall see!
Keep up the good work Reger.
5 comments:
Thanks. My 2008 was much better than 2009. I think I tried to go too deep with the sleepers. I missed bad on Brandon Flowers and Nicks obviously. I guess we could go back and forth on flacco. My criteria is whether or not they will live up to their draft position. Flacco was drafted like 13th and I don't think he has lived up to the pick.
Come on, Flacco was the 18th pick and he has definitely been worth it. It's not his fault they lost last year to the Pats in the Championship game. He won that game for them and some of his teammates let him down.
There are at least 5 teams right now that would've traded the 18 pick or higher for him this year. Dolphins, Seahawks, Browns, Cardinals and Jaguars. Other teams that would be interested: Jets, Titans, Chiefs.
My busts are better than my sleepers, even though I have some star sleepers. By my estimation the only busts that have panned out are(including Flacco) Flowers, Nicks, Flacco, Rivers, Freeman. Thats pretty good considering most of them were 1st or 2nd rounders.
oh and Cushing
Stick to eating non-redmeat products and Obama hating. It's what you are good at.
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